Course rally or trap? Why Bitcoin Trader must now be particularly vigilant

Course rally or trap? Why Bitcoin Trader must now be particularly vigilant


The most important thing shortly

  • Bitcoin reached a new weekly high at $ 106,785.
  • The course is above the Point of Control – a bullish signal.
  • The demand zone has proven to be resilient.
  • A movement in the direction of the Value Area High is likely.
  • Short -term reset possible – good chances for re -entrance.

On Wednesday, Bitcoin reached a weekly high of around $ 106,785 and thus marked an important milestone because the course on critical support levels such as the Point of Control lists. This course development underpins the optimistic forecast, with technical indicators suggesting a possible movement in the direction of the Value Area High in the near future.

Weekly maximum stalls move the tendency upwards while the demand is confirmed

After a volatile week at the cryptoma markets, Bitcoin once again demonstrated its resistance: in the middle of the week it reached a new weekly high and was almost able to compensate for the visible volume efficiency. In the further course of the week, the market structure and the demand zones show significant signs of a bullish tendency.


The upward trend from Monday not only showed strength, but also established a solid demand base.

This zone now seems to be confirmed because the price has been with several renewed tests. In addition, we are currently writing down above the Point of Control (POC), an important indicator that indicates that the path of the slightest resistance leads up.

If the dynamic continues, it is quite possible that the price will tend this week towards the Value Area High (VAH). This would complete the rotation from the demand to the value high and confirm a short -term continuation of the upward trend.


The price continues to tend to be expanded in a directionally cheap constellation, whereby the range of expectations is expanded.
At the beginning of this week I kept my pessimistic attitude – until confirmation by a new weekly high. This condition was fulfilled on Wednesday, which refutes my previous tendency. The market now clearly prefers buyers.

I now focus on long setups, especially from the zone with a lower demand if the price rises again. Since we are in the middle area of ​​the volume profile, a certain unevenness can be expected.

Keep your expectations in mind: Since the chance of reaching the monthly high is only about 1 %, aggressive outbreaks are less likely.
While the short -term prospects are still optimistic, retailers should remain careful in view of possible volatility and sideways -oriented price movements because the market digested the latest profits. Patience and disciplined risk management are the key to mastering the expected inconsistency before it comes to a decisive outbreak.

Technical outlook for Bitcoin: Waiting for the maturity before the next upswing

$ BTC closed the daily meeting with an undecided candle, which illustrates the uncertainty of market participants after the latest price development. The bulls managed to keep their profits, but the dynamics have temporarily stalled, which creates a potential time window for a short -term correction movement.

The importance of keeping the current level cannot be emphasized enough. This consolidation phase – even if there are no explosive price movements – is crucial for building up a strong basis. A course that lies above the important middle support line indicates that buyers continue to have control, albeit carefully.


The main focus is still on shorter periods (1–4 hours), since the price development here offers more clarity about intraday trends. The market seems to be preparing for a slight downward trend. If there is a short-term decline- ideally into an established demand zone- this could offer an attractive opportunity for a re-entry, especially for swing or intraday longs.

However, patience is crucial. You should wait until the chart is mature, i.e. a clearer structure with confirming a reverse or continuation pattern before we initiate new trades.

This could be done in the form of a bullish engulfing candle, a breakthrough of lower high in the 1H chart or a clear bullish divergence in momentum indicators such as RSI or MACD. The volume also remains a crucial factor. An upward trend without increasing buying volume should not be sustainable. Therefore, keep an eye on whether the bulls will be convinced again in the further course of the charts.

In short: no hurry. Leave the price development and wait until your advantage comes out again.

Smart money acts with the reaction – not with the prediction.
Bitcoin (BTC) showed a strong upward dynamics after reaching a new weekly high on Wednesday, which is confirmed by a solid demand zone and acted above the control point. This indicates a likely movement in the direction of the Value Area High in the further course of this week and signals a short -term continuation of the upward trend.

Since the likelihood of breaking the monthly high, but only about 1 % is, a certain price consolidation and price fluctuations can be expected. The technical analysis indicates a possible minor short -term decline, which offers potential return options. Patience is essential- dealers should wait for clear reversal or continuation signals and an increased volume before they respond to new positions.

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Jayd Johnson