Bitcoin dominance approaches the main resistance
A significant change in the crypto cycle could be imminent, since the Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) again achieves critical long-term resistance.
According to an analysis published by Bitcoinensus, the BTC.D index-which measures the market share of Bitcoin in relation to the entire cryptom market-tests the upper limit of a growing wedge pattern for several years.
Historical pattern indicates a reversal
Die Chart Shows a recurring pattern that goes back to 2017. Every time BTC.D touched the upper resistance of this wedge, this triggered a sharp repentance – often followed by the beginning of an old season. This cycle was repeated in 2018, 2021 and 2023 and now seems to prepare for another downward movement in the second half of 2025.
If the story rhyme, a outbreak from this wedge could prepare the stage for a broad old coin rally-especially since Bitcoin's dominance has risen to 63.94% and is therefore close to previous local highs.
Why this level of resistance is important
The pattern of the increasing wedge indicates that BTC.D reaches higher deep stalls, but encounters rejection of a consistent diagonal resistance. These trend lines act like pressure zones. If the dominance does not succeed in overcoming resistance, capital often flows into old coins, which leads to increased volatility and a rapid increase in price in this sector.
A confirmed reversal could mark the beginning of the next Altcoin super cycle, whereby assets such as Ethereum, Solana and other Layer 1S would benefit the most.
Important level and time
- Btc.d resistance area: ~ 64%-65%
- Wedge support zone: ~ 40%-45%
- Historical AltSaisonal Pivots: Post-Rejection phases from 2018, 2021, 2023
Bitcoinensus notes that this setup “makes sense” for a full -grown old season in the coming months, especially when the dominance begins to tip over.
