Bitcoin recovered by an average of 37%after crises, so Binance Research
Despite the widespread fears that global crises mean a catastrophe for the cryptoma markets, new data from Binance Research indicate that the opposite could be the case – at least for Bitcoin.
The latest analysis of the platform shows that BTC has achieved strong returns in the past with an average profit of 37% within 60 days of larger geopolitical or financial shocks since 2020.
BTC exceeds in crisis recovery
The data show that Bitcoin always recovers after phases of intensive market loads – and even flourishes. For example:
According to the challenges of the US elections 2020, Bitcoin rose by 131%in the following 60 days.
After the regional banking crisis in the United States in March 2023, BTC increased by 32%.
Even after the outbreak of Covid-19, which led to a severe decline of 25% within 10 days, Bitcoin recovered two months later with a return of 21%.
More examples are
- An increase of 20% after the escalation between the USA and Iran in January 2020
- A recovery by 15% after Russia's invasion into Ukraine in February 2022
The only weak performance was recorded in August 2024 after the Yen-Carry Trades was dissolved when BTC only made a win of 3% within 60 days.
Bitcoin compared to traditional assets
Compared to the S&P 500 and gold, the average returns from Bitcoin are significantly stronger after crisis events. While shares (SPX) and gold listed results -between -7% and +12% or -10% and +11% -was Bitcoin the clear outperformer.
Example
- During the Covid crash, the S&P 500 fell by 20% within 10 days and only recovered by 2% within 60 days.
During the banking crisis, gold rose by 10% within 10 days, but Bitcoin achieved the highest 60-day return with 32%.
Consequences for investors
The results indicate that the Bitcoin price could initially react strongly to geopolitical or financial uncertainties-often with short-term double-digit burglaries. However, historical patterns show that BTC usually comes back strongly as soon as the fear subsides and speculative tributaries return.
Binance Research emphasized that after the crisis, these profits could reflect both an escape to decentralized assets in times of distrust of traditional financial systems and a renewed risk to the risk of investors after the return of stability.
